Northwest Atlanta Properties

Home | Client Forms | Contact | (770) 726 -1454
  • Property Management
    • Property Management Services
      • Property Management Forms
      • Properties Recently Rented
      • Rental Value
    • For Tenants
      • Tenant Information
      • Tenant Forms
      • General Information for Tenants
      • General Questions and Answers
      • Tenant Move-Out Information
      • Emergency Procedures for Tenants
      • Utilities
  • Real Estate Sales
    • Looking to Purchase? Search Here!
      • Search Our Listings
      • Our Recent Sales
    • 1031 Exchange Overview – GA Edition
    • What Is My Home Worth?
    • What to Expect in an Offer
    • For Sale By Owner Resources
    • Investment Opportunities
  • About Us
  • Testimonials
    • We Want to Hear from You!
  • Blog & Newsletters
    • Blog
    • Newsletters

4 Reasons Why the End of Forbearance Will Not Lead to a Wave of Foreclosures

July 28, 2021 by Mike Stott

With forbearance plans about to come to an end, many are concerned the housing market will experience a wave of foreclosures like what happened after the housing bubble 15 years ago. Here are four reasons why that won’t happen.

1. There are fewer homeowners in trouble this time

After the last housing crash, about 9.3 million households lost their home to a foreclosure, short sale, or because they simply gave it back to the bank.

As stay-at-home orders were issued early last year, the overwhelming fear was the pandemic would decimate the housing industry in a similar way. Many experts projected 30% of all mortgage holders would enter the forbearance program. Only 8.5% actually did, and that number is now down to 3.5%.

As of last Friday, the total number of mortgages still in forbearance stood at  1,863,000. That’s definitely a large number, but nowhere near 9.3 million.

2. Most of the 1.86M in forbearance have enough equity to sell their home

Of the 1.86 million homeowners currently in forbearance, 87% have at least 10% equity in their homes. The 10% equity number is important because it enables homeowners to sell their houses and pay the related expenses instead of facing the hit on their credit that a foreclosure or short sale would create.

The remaining 13% might not all have the option to sell, so if the entire 13% of the 1.86M homes went into foreclosure, that would total 241,800 mortgages. To give that number context, here are the annual foreclosure numbers of the three years leading up to the pandemic:

  • 2017: 314,220
  • 2018: 279,040
  • 2019: 277,520

The probable number of foreclosures coming out of the forbearance program is nowhere near the number of foreclosures coming out of the housing crash 15 years ago. The number does, however, draw a similar comparison to the three years prior to the pandemic.

3. The current market can absorb any listings coming to the market

When foreclosures hit the market in 2008, there was an excess supply of homes for sale. The situation is exactly the opposite today. In 2008, there was a 9-month supply of listings for sale. Today, that number stands at less than 3 months of inventory on the market.

As Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains when addressing potential foreclosures emerging from the forbearance program:

“Any foreclosure increases will likely be quickly absorbed by the market. It will not lead to any price declines.”

4. Those in power will do whatever is necessary to prevent a wave of foreclosures

Just last Friday, the White House released a fact sheet explaining how homeowners with government-backed mortgages will be given further options to enable them to keep their homes when exiting forbearance. Here are two examples mentioned in the release:

  • “For homeowners who can resume their pre-pandemic monthly mortgage payment and where agencies have the authority, agencies will continue requiring mortgage servicers to offer options that allow borrowers to move missed payments to the end of the mortgage at no additional cost to the borrower.”
  • “The new steps the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), Department of Agriculture (USDA), and Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) are announcing will aim to provide homeowners with a roughly 25% reduction in borrowers’ monthly principal and interest (P&I) payments to ensure they can afford to remain in their homes and build equity long-term. This brings options for homeowners with mortgages backed by HUD, USDA, and VA closer in alignment with options for homeowners with mortgages backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.”

When evaluating the four reasons above, it’s clear there won’t be a flood of foreclosures coming to the market as the forbearance program winds down.

Bottom Line

As Ivy Zelman, founder of the major housing market analytical firm Zelman & Associates, notes:

“The likelihood of us having a foreclosure crisis again is about zero percent.”

Filed Under: Now In Real Estate, Property Management Blog, Tiny Homes, Uncategorized, Up-to-date Mortgage Info Tagged With: #Atlanta, #atlantarealestate, #investment, #Investmentproperty, #Investors, #realestate, #sellyourhome, Agent, Broker, Build a home, Build your home, buyers, consumer spending, Down Payment, Economist, Equity, Freddie Mac, Georgia Real Estate, homeownership, homes, housing, Housing Bubble, Investment Property, Luxury Home, Luxury Homes, Luxury Living, Mike Stott, National Association of Realtors, new home buyers, New Home Construction, real estate, Real Estate Advice, sellers, selling your home, Wealth

About Mike Stott

Latest From Our Blog

Housing Market Forecast for the Rest of 2023

… Read More...

How Inflation Affects Mortgage Rates

When you read about the housing market in the news, you might see something about a recent decision … Read More...

How To Know If You’re Ready to Buy a Home

If you’re trying to decide if you’re ready to buy a home, there’s probably a lot on your mind. … Read More...

View Full Blog >>

More from Our Clients

“You can invest in the best markets in the country but if you don’t have a great management team looking after your investments you can still lose money. That is why I stick with Northwest Atlanta Properties. I tell people it is like buying a mutual fund. You buy a property and the fund manager does the rest. If he does a good job you buy more. That is why I am buying more.”

Jamie Neely
Jamie Neely

“Great Service, everything was wonderful”

Gary Thurman
Gary Thurman

“What a Fantastic Job you guys did! I knew I wanted to hire the team the moment I met them. They are spot on. They did all of the legwork, and at times seemed to move mountains for us. We truly could not be happier!”

Johnston
Kim Johnston

“You guys are the best! I was so scared to pull the trigger on this and you have gone above and beyond to make things go smoothly. You guys are the best!! Many mahalos”

Maili
Maili

“Mike and Jon are the best! They made everything so easy!”

Andy Sexton
Andy Sexton

“This is our second transaction with Mike, Jon, & Donna. I Recomend them to everyone I know!”

Vic & Tammie Pecora
Vic & Tammie Pecora

“I just bought a home in the Woodlands! If you need a great realtor, Jon Burke with Northwest Atlanta Properties was Awesome! He was very knowledgeable and there for me every step of the way!”

Patty Cunningham
Patty Cunningham

“Many Thanks, Jon, Mike for outstanding service & support”

Ritesh Betala
Ritesh Betala

“We went from knowing that we could never buy a house to owning our new home!”

Don & Kris
Don & Kris

“Couldn’t be happier. Looked at houses one weekend, picked our favorite. That’s the one we bought. Got everything we wanted and more in negotiations. They held our hands through the entire process, going above and beyond at every opportunity. NWATLP Introduced me to my now lender, my inspector, and even helped me pick a home warranty! ‘One and Done’ should be their new catch phrase!!!”

Elizabeth W.
Elizabeth W.

“Wow, we ended up being one of those people who sold their house in a day. Mike and Donna delivered exactly what we asked them to do and we are so happy we trusted intuition and our friends.”

Chris G.
Chris G.

“Seriously, you were great!”

Dan & Mimi Murray
Dan & Mimi Murray

“This was our eight transaction. It went as smoothly as possible and sold in two days!”

Marc Bootman
Marc Bootman

“We were blessed to have Mike and Jon sell our house. They were extremely professional and stayed in great contact with us. We interviewed 7 agents and they were simply the most prepared and had the most logical marketing plan. Their pricing spreadsheet really made a big difference. We highly recommend them.”

Daren & Sandra Woods
Daren & Sandra Woods

“I can hardly believe we made it. Thanks for your patience with me and the loving guidance you
gave.”

Lynn Bodenstein
Lynn Bodenstein

“Just wanted to take a moment to thank God for sending you to us. You made the sale of our house grace-filled andeven fun with your humor. And, literally, you have driven all over the place trying to help us find the right home nowthat you sold ours. You get 5 stars and my personal recommendation which I don’t give out lightly. Thank you forbeing a man of excellence!”

Jay & Becky Harmon
Jay & Becky Harmon

“Mike and Jon helped us find a home that we love! They answered every question with professionalism and ease. They made the homebuying process so smooth! 5 stars to Northwest Atlanta Properties, we will recommend them to anyone looking to buy or sell their home!”

The Kornegay's
The Kornegay's

“Wow. Service with a smile. Knowledgeable and gave me all the info needed to find and buy our perfect house.”

Adam Winnie
Adam Winnie

“First of all, I want to tell you how happy and fortunate we are to be working with you. I love the way you are with people. You’re so calm & attentive and present. And it was wonderful how you had taken pictures before the meeting. So we are so lucky to have you on our team. Thank you, Jon!

The Fabozzi's
The Fabozzi's

“The BEST out there. I loved how I would get an email when the house was shown. I was always super informed! Super professional in all aspects!! Thank you, Mike!”

Kristy Haines
Kristy Haines

“Northwest Atlanta Properties sold our house for the highest price in the neighborhood; EVER! That can’t be beaten! “

The Louder's
The Louder's

“My Wife and I became first time home owners in Sept. Northwest Atlanta Properties guided us every step of the way. They introduced us to several lenders, Home inspectors, and Appraisers. They were always concerned with what we thought and our preferences. We went out One Saturday and saw 6 listings. We put in an offer on the one we liked and Got it!!! They stepped in and made negotiations easy as well as prepped us for the eventualities we faced. They should change their slogan to “One and Done” We will never use anyone else.”

Josh
Josh

“This family-owned business was a joy to work with! They listed to exactly what we wanted and put our priorities above their profit margins. I never felt pressured to go into a higher price point then we were comfortable with. They showed us several homes in the areas we were considering and worked with us every step of the way. We were new to the state so relied on their expertise to find us the perfect community for raising our children. I was in constant contact with Donna, Mike, & Josh who never made me feel like I was bothering them. Their many years of expertise made me feel safe and confident while looking for our home. I couldn’t recommend them enough!!!”

Katherine B
Katherine B

“If you are looking for carefully curated experience combined with friendly and understanding customer service then this is the place for you! This is a company that puts their every effort into finding you the perfect home. I spoke with Donna and Mike Stott, Jon Burke, and Josh Weinberg and they were absolutely fantastic. I never felt rushed and they listened to my idea of my perfect dream home with rapt interest that resulted in a selection of beautiful properties and houses. I can’t thank them enough for their experience, time, and attention to detail.”

Alexis
Alexis

“Mike was my listing agent and I had what we both knew would be a hard sale. I went though several other agents and Mike was the one who put in the hard work to get a contract and most importantly closed. It was not an easy process but he made it happen. I highly recommend.”

Ryan Jacobs
Ryan Jacobs

Mike, we had the best realtors in GA❣️😘 thanks to you and Donna we found our dream home! We highly recommend Northwest Atlanta Properties!

 

Ellen Rich-Fox
Ellen Rich-Fox

“Outstanding! I wish every realtor was this thorough! Thanks!”

Frank MUSCENTE - Owner, a closer look
Frank Muscente, Owner, a closer look

“Couldn’t of been easier, best realtor service I have ever had”

Amos Cordell
Amos Cordell

Donna, you and Mike are not at the top of my list of Realtors — YOU AND MIKE ARE THE LIST!!📣

Aileen

Northwest Atlanta Properties

Home Sales & Property Management Services

Professional real estate services for Sellers, buyers, owners & tenants. Specializing in the Northwest Atlanta communities of Roswell, Marietta, Alpharetta, Milton, Woodstock, Kennesaw, and the Surrounding Areas.

Contact Us

We look forward to hearing from you!
Office: (770) 726-1454
info@nwatlp.com

3380 Trickum Rd Bldg #1300 Suite 100 Woodstock, GA 30188

Be sure to follow us!

Follow by Email
Facebook
Facebook
fb-share-icon
LinkedIn
LinkedIn
Share

Copyright © 2023 · Northwest Atlanta Properties · Website by Visule Web Media

Copyright © 2023 · Executive Pro Theme on Genesis Framework · WordPress · Log in